• We have quite a few defensive absentees on both sides so both teams will be less sturdy in defence.
  • For Bilbao, they will potentially be without three starters in defence. Íñigo Martínez is suspended, Yeray Alvarez is injured, and Yuri Berchiche is a serious doubt (all three have 30 or more starts in the league). With those absentees.
  • 20-year-old CB Daniel Vivian (0 mins in LaLiga this season) is expected to make his first start of the season, Unai Nunez who on paper is one of Bilbao's weaker defenders is also expected to start. Bilbao give up 1.28xGA per 90 with him on the pitch (worst of all their defenders with 1000+ mins)
  • Leganes are not without their problems either Kenneth Omeruo, Unai Bustinza, Kévin Rodrigues, Jonathan Silva, Recio, and Chidozie Awaziem are all out
  • Leganes have allowed 1.39xGA per 90 on the road this season, considering their desperation for points and their absentees they'll struggle to keep another clean sheet in my opinion.
  • Since the restart, Bilbao's games have averaged 1.69xGA so considering the defensive problems Leganes will also probably fancy their chances of adding to the goals line
  • Athletic themselves have averaged 1.27xG per 90 since the restart but we have to remember they've played Atletico, Real Madrid, and Sevilla in the past few weeks. They should be able to generate more quality chances here
  • Their games have averaged 2.96 total xG since LaLiga resumed
  • Bilbao are three points off a Europa League places, so they'll be motivated to win. A draw suits neither team. If Leganes want a great escape, they'll need 6 points from these last two games to have any chance
  • Bilbao's last ten matches against bottom 6 teams has seen them scored 1.6 goals per game (average total 2.5 goals per game)
  • Temperatures should only be about 19°C so I'm not expecting the heat to play a role slowing down the pace of the game
Over 1.5 Total Goals at 1.58 with Marathonbet - 2 units (Over 2 and Over 2.5 playable but I'll play the safer option) - Don't bet below 1.5