- Bologna are pretty much guaranteed a mid-table finish, Europe nor relegation is on the cards at this stage of the season.
- Bologna are generally a quite high scoring under Sinisa Mihajlovic with 3.05 total goals scored per game since he took over.
- This season we’ve seen slightly worse performance under Mihajlovic and more worryingly just one clean sheet all season. That came against SPAL
- When facing Top 6 opponents, Bologna have been somewhat leaky with an average of 2 goals conceded per game in their last 10
- Against Top 6 the results have been ok but the underlying data not so great. Here’s a closer look
- Vs Roma - 2-1 loss (Bologna very much 2nd best, only big chance was from the penalty spot which they converted)
- Vs Lazio - 2-2 draw (This was one of Bologna’s best performances of the season, they actually deserved to win)
- Vs Juve - 2-1 Loss (Deserved to lose and Juve got off 16 attempts inside Bologna’s box)
- Vs Inter - 2-1 Loss (deserved to lose xG total 2.1-0.38 in Inter’s favour)
- Vs Napoli - 2-1 win (They lost the xG here, but a draw would have been a fairer result, like the Juve game, Bologna allowed their opponents a lot of attempts inside their box)
- Vs Atalanta - 2-1 win (Another great result but again they lost the xG 1.34-2.16 and were 2nd best) Worth noting that Atalanta were without a lot of key players including Papu Gomez, Josip Iličić and Duvan Zapata
- Vs Roma - 3-2 win (Another positive result with Bologna losing the xG 1.84-1.28)
- Vs Lazio - 2-0 loss (This was actually a fairly even game with a draw probably being a fairer outcome)
- Bologna press a lot in the attacking 3rd which is part of the reason we see them involved in high scoring games.
One trend that is quite common from these games is that Bologna allows a lot of attempts inside their own box and on the whole have had quite a big chunk of luck in these games.
- Juve’s recent performances weren’t really up their standards with two 0-0 draws with Milan and Napoli, but this is a far more winnable game.
- Trying to break down a team playing with 10 men behind the ball is never easy (vs Milan), and as for the 0-0 with Napoli, there’s no shame in that, Gattuso has completely turned their season around, so a close contest was always expected.
- How have Juventus performed against teams outside the top half of the table? They’re 8-1-1 in their last 10 with 19 scored, and only 8 conceded
- I feel the fact Juve have game time under their belts is a massive plus as well. Let’s not forget that Italy was one of the first countries to go into lockdown so that bit of match sharpness will be indispensable.
- There are other positives for Juventus, particularly at the back Matthijs de Ligt has really found his feet, and with him, they’ve rock-solid in recent games. (Clean sheets vs Inter, Milan, and Napoli) - The defensive errors were a thorn in Juve’s side earlier in the season.
- In terms of team news, Juve are better off. Sandro is the only starter missing while Bologna will be without 4 players (Bani, Schouten, Santander, and Skov Olsen) - Bani is one of their starting CB’s
Juventus to win @ 1.69 with Betsafe/Marathon - 2 units