Over 2.5 Total Goals at 1.95 with Pinnacle - 1 unit (min 1.85)


  • Brest got off to a great start against Lyon drawing 1-1, although they probably deserved to lose the game we can't fault their effort
  • Under Der Zakarian (Former Montpellier) they don't appear to be a side content with just playing in a low block. They came to play against Lyon and should do the same here considering Rennes frailties in their opening match
  • For a team that got promoted last season, Brest were a surprise package at least in the chance creation department, they had similar numbers to Nice / Marseille /Montpellier. I expect that trend to continue this season
  • They have retained their leading goal contributors from last season (Mounie, Honorat, Cardona, and Faivre) Having that continuity is important, especially at this stage of the season
  • Last season we saw relatively high goal scoring and xG numbers. Their home games averaged 3.42 goals a game with 3.14xG (total)
  • Der Zakarian has a reputation from his time with Montpellier as being an ultra defence minded coach but we haven't seen that this season or last (Montpellier had the 2nd worst xGA in the league)
  • Brest have scored in 13 of their last 15 home matches, they only failed to score against PSG (1.09xG for) and against Strasbourg (1.28xG) - All things considered we should expect Brest to struggle at the back but also add to the goal line
  • In recent games against the top half teams (last 10) their games have averaged 3.9 goals a game


  • Rennes results over the last season might turn you toward's betting the under here but I believe with the new signings, Genesio's arrival, and no European football they will pose a threat this season
  • Rennes had a mixed opening day, New signing Kamaldeen Sulemana scored on his debut and looks set to light up the league this season. However they were atrocious in the defensive phase and could have easily conceded 3 or 4 against Lens (2.14xGA)
  • The prospect of Sulemana and Doku (missed the opener) playing out wide for Rennes this season is frightening they will be able to stretch opponents easily. With Terrier (CF), Camavinga (CM), and Bourigeaud (CM/RW) there's no shortage of talent to progress the ball
  • Genesio has done a good job of reinvigorating the Rennes attack, when he took over last season they were one of the worst chance creators in the league. Although they did have a shaky start against Lens, Brest are not at the same level and should allow more openings.
  • Rennes team news is positive, no starters are injured or suspended. Doku should start this one ahead of

Final word: Both these teams have fluid attacks and neither should adopt a negative gameplan. We should see goals.