Over 2.5 Total Goals at 1.85 with Betfair SB - 2 units (min odds 1.75)
Over 1.5 Cagliari goals at 2.07 with Pinnacle - 2 units (min odds 1.91)
Cagliari have their easiest game of the season thus far and are coming off an impressive 3-2 win over Torino
Immediately it’s obvious this season that Cagliari are playing a more open expansive style of play under Eusebio Di Francesco
So far this season their games have averaged 4 goals per game with 3.67 total xG per match
With this being such a winnable game I don’t envision EdF having a negative game plan
Crotone have given up 2.75 goals per 90 in the top flight and only narrowly managed to take a point off a massively depleted Juventus side who had a man sent off in the 2nd half
In their two road games this season (Sassuolo and Genoa) they conceded 4 in each
We also can’t forget even with defensive coaches last seasons like Maran and Zenga, this defence (Cagliari) still ranked 6th worst for chances allowed
Of the promoted teams this season Crotone were the best chance creators and judging by their attacking output this season we shouldn’t be surprised to see them contribute to the goals line today
Cagliari have also conceded on average 1.5 goals per game when facing teams in the bottom 6 (last 10)
Klavan and Walukiewicz are expected to be Cagliari’s CB pairing today, Cagliari gave up on average 1.81xGA per 90 with Walukiewicz last season and 1.6 xGA per 90 with Klavan. Although a small sample size, those numbers as bad as they are, are even worse this season.
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