Sweden to win at 101.00 with Bet Victor (0.5 units) - min odds 81.00
Sweden to win Group E at 8.00 with Betway (0.5 units) - min odds 7.00
  • Sweden's group is very favourable; they shouldn't have any issues qualifying from the group. I wouldn't rule out them winning the group either.
  • The seeds in Group E are Spain, and they're far from being the global power they were. Spain is now in a transition, and like we've seen in recent matches between the two, Sweden can compete at their level.
  • Elsewhere we have a declining Poland who are now under the stewardship of journeyman Paolo Sousa, along with Slovakia, one of the weaker nations to make it this far. Those two games will be very winnable and should mean 4-6 points.
  • Sweden have a nice balance between experience and youth. The likes of Olsen, Lustig, Larsson, Forsberg, Lindelöf, Claesson, Berg, and Zlatan will provide a lot of experience while newcomers Isak, Kulusevski, and Svanberg offer a youthful injection of dynamism.
  • We don't know yet how the squad will look, but they don't have many deficiencies positionally.
  • In the last WC, Sweden were set up for success and made it to the quarter-finals thanks to their structured approach.
  • In Russia, however, Marcus Berg and Ola Toivonen weren't that spectacular and cost Sweden further progression, in my opinion. If I'm not mistaken, Marcus Berg racked up a higher xG in that WC than Neymar but failed to score a single goal.
  • Sweden will be playing two of their group games in St Petersburg Russia, this is a short hop across the Baltic sea for Sweden and should mean few problems in terms of travel time/match preparation.
  • Sweden were promoted in the UNL to group A and had their battles with the best teams in Europe last year; Sweden used this competition to experiment a bit and held their own. Although they lost most of their games (vs France, Portugal, Croatia), they kept every game competitive. Overall, Sweden generated 1.08xG per 90 while giving up 1.46
  • The experience of playing those games should only benefit them.
  • In their EC qualification Sweden lost just once, that came in a 3-0 loss at the Bernabéu, a game they were very much 2nd best in.
  • When Spain travelled to Sweden, however, it was a different story; they played out a 1-1 (xG 2.00-1.36 in Sweden's favour)

Final word: Structured teams with sound defences will be set up well for this tournament. Considering their easy group and the depth in their squad, I fully expect Sweden to get into the R16/Quarter-finals. Once you make it that far it's all about grinding out results, and I think Sweden are set up quite well for that.