Frankfurt to win at 1.97 with Pinnacle - 2 units (1.8 min) - 2 units

Frankfurt

  • Frankfurt disappointed last time out against Werder Bremen losing 2-1 but there are plenty of reasons to be optimistic about this match-up
  • Firstly, when these two met earlier in the season Frankfurt's approach caused them all kinds of trouble scoring twice, getting off 17 attempts and putting up 3.49 xG (all from open play)
  • Frankfurt as of today have no injuries or suspensions to deal with, Hütter will be able to field his best XI assuming we get
  • At home Frankfurt are unbeaten this season and have already recorded wins over Bayern Munich and Leverkusen. Against RB Leipzig, Dortmund, and Gladbach they played out score draws
  • When taking on teams in the bottom half of the table (Stuttgart 10th) they have won 7 of their last 10 with 24 scored and 10 conceded
  • Twice this season Frankfurt have slipped up at home to bottom half opponents, they came against Werder (1-1) and Arminia (1-1). Frankfurt's average xG difference for those games was +1.45
  • Lastly, Frankfurt's defensive improvements have been immense in 2021, excluding the Bayern match they have restricted every team they have played to under 1.1xGA or lower.

Stuttgart

  • Stuttgart have impressive xG and goal numbers this season but at the back they are very fragile. They rank 7th worst in the league for xGA.
  • The visitors have also lost both of their matches against top 6 opponents in 2021 with 6 goals conceded and 7.25xGA
  • Stuttgart's team news isn't as good as Frankfurt's they're still without Nicolás González in attack
  • Since their 5-1 thrashing of Dortmund, Stuttgart have struggled on the road with losses to Wolfsburg (1-0), Arminia (3-0), Freiburg (2-1) and Leverkusen (5-2).
  • Frankfurt are elite in pressing their opponents and currently rank 5th best in the league for PPDA. Throughout the season we've seen Stuttgart struggle against teams that press aggressively.
  • Excluding the 5-1 win over Dortmund they failed to win a single game against any of their matches against teams that rank top 5 for PPDA. Their average xGA in these games is very high too (2.66xGA per 90)

Become a full member!