Firstly this Verona squad probably won’t be the surprise package they were last season. All their stars from last season have either been transferred or loaned back to their parent clubs.
Let’s examine who’s left. Pazzini, (veteran forward scored 4 last season), Borini (Fringe player but was useful in attack, scored 3 times), Verre (Useful utility player in attack, 3 goals and 2 assists last season), Pessina (Attacking midfielder who scored 7 times last season), Amrabat (covers every blade of grass, one Serie A’s best CM’s, played 3000+ mins last season), Rrahmani (starting CB +3400 mins last season, excellent CB now at Napoli) Salcedo (Rotation attacking player +700 mins last season), Kumbulla (Starting CB from last season, he’s believed to have agreed terms with Roma for €30m today)
Verona also achieved their highest points per match with Kumbulla on the pitch (1.44 PPM) They also had their lowest xGA per 90 with him on the pitch so he’s a massive loss (if he leaves, which looks likely)
As Verona haven’t made any significant sales, they haven’t had much cash to throw around to bring in talent.
Their highest-profile acquisition was Tameze (DM) a few of you might remember he made a few cameos for Atalanta last season.
Even with their strong squad last season they did struggle against the Top 6 in Italy, In their last 10 they W1 D3 L6 with 2.1 goals conceded per game.
Roma did have some movement in the market, but nothing that significant in my opinion. There will be some movement with strikers, Dzeko will likely go to Juve and Milik to Roma. However, Dzeko will take the field this weekend; those transfers are far from being completed.
Roma hit their stride towards the end of the season winning 7 of their last 8. The only match they didn’t win was against Inter (2-2). One those wins included a dominant display against Verona (2-1) in which they generated 2.66xG
One of the keys for Verona is DM Diawara, he was an unsung hero last season and when he got injured Roma suffered as a result. He should be fit and ready to play here
Of players with +1500 mins last season, Roma achieved their best team xGA per 90 with him on the pitch (in simple terms they’re defensively robust with him on the pitch)
When playing bottom half teams, Roma have a superb recent record winning 8 of their last 10 with 2.8 goals scored per game. Verona technically finished mid-table last season, but I rate them far lower this season.
Roma to win at 2.25 with Unibet/Betway/888 - 2 units
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