Under 2.5 Total Goals at 2.21 with Pinnacle - 2 units (min odds 2.05)
Juve are coming into this game off the back of a 2-2 with Torino, pressure is mounting on Pirlo as the probabilities for Juventus missing out on top 4 are starting to become a real possibility.
Despite that result, Juventus still rank 1st for goals against and xGA so I don't expect them to give too much away to Napoli
Domestically at home they've only allowed 0.71 goals against per 90 with 1.04xGA
When Juve travelled to Naples back in February they did so against a totally depleted Napoli team and still managed to lose 0-1. Napoli did a great job of restricting big chances in that game, although Juve got off 22 attempts almost none were big chances.
Prior to that Napoli restricted Juventus to just 0.46xGA in the Coppa Italia Final back in June (0-0 after 90')
I'm not going to talk too much about Juventus here as it's Napoli's game plan that should lead to a low scoring cagey affair.
Napoli are full strength for this game and have their best CB pairing of Koulibaly and Manolas in line to start
With their captain on the pitch Napoli only allow 0.81 goals against p90 with 0.89xGA
Gatusso tends to play very conservative in these games, just looking at their last 10 against top 6 opponents we can see just 8 goals conceded
If we filter that to road games, we can see Napoli's last 10 against top 6 teams have averaged just 1.8 goals a game.
Napoli have turned their season around and are now in contention of a top 4 finish. From the looks of it Juve, AC Milan, Napoli, and Lazio are going to have to fight for UCL spots.
Dropping points here for Napoli can't be an option so I don't expect Napoli to give very much away.
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