Napoli +0.5 Asian Handicap at 1.92 with Bet365 - 2 units
  • Juve don’t appear to have much of a structure yet under Pirlo and I fear if Napoli press them as intensely as Roma did last week it won’t end well for Juventus
  • Juve struggled a lot progressing the ball up the pitch in that game and were ultimately saved by a Ronaldo penalty and a moment of individual brilliance (69th min header). Time after time Roma’s pace exposed Juve on the counter and Napoli are even better equipped than the Giallorossi in that department
  • With Rabiot now suspended I expect Juve’s ball progression problems to suffer even further. Arthur and McKennie are expected to start at CM with Ramsey playing as a 10 behind Ronaldo and Kulusevski. Assuming Napoli keep Ramsey quiet they won’t have much creative outlets in midfield to break Napoli down
  • Despite the 4-3 loss in this fixture last year, Napoli have had a lot of success against Juve in recent times. Also since Gattuso took over they have faced Juve twice and won both matches.
  • The last meeting between the two was in the Coppa Italia final, The game ended 0-0 (Napoli won on penalties) Napoli were the better side over the 120 mins of play generating 1.98xG to Juve’s 0.45xG
  • Prior to that they won 2-1 in Naples again restricting Juventus heavily. The bianconeri generated just 0.8xG in that game.
  • So far this season Napoli have come up against weak opposition in Genoa and Parma but they have been dominant and haven’t given the opposition a sniff, Parma got off 1 attempt on target (0.12xG), Genoa 0 (0.52xG)
  • Napoli are unbeaten in 14 of their last 17 games in Serie A
  • Not only have they held onto their entire starting XI from last season they’ve also added Victor Osimhen into the mix which so far looks like a very promising move
  • The Nigerian forward has only played 120 mins but has generated 0.8xG and registered an assist already. We can expect him to continue to grow as the season progresses)
  • Napoli have one injury concern and that’s with Insigne, he’s being evaluated day to day but probably misses this match or starts from the bench
    Final word: Napoli will continue to press relentlessly while maintaining a strong narrow defensive shape, expect Juve to struggle a lot to create good chances and for Napoli to cover the spread.