Napoli +0.5 Asian Handicap at 1.92 with Bet365 - 2 units
Juve don’t appear to have much of a structure yet under Pirlo and I fear if Napoli press them as intensely as Roma did last week it won’t end well for Juventus
Juve struggled a lot progressing the ball up the pitch in that game and were ultimately saved by a Ronaldo penalty and a moment of individual brilliance (69th min header). Time after time Roma’s pace exposed Juve on the counter and Napoli are even better equipped than the Giallorossi in that department
With Rabiot now suspended I expect Juve’s ball progression problems to suffer even further. Arthur and McKennie are expected to start at CM with Ramsey playing as a 10 behind Ronaldo and Kulusevski. Assuming Napoli keep Ramsey quiet they won’t have much creative outlets in midfield to break Napoli down
Despite the 4-3 loss in this fixture last year, Napoli have had a lot of success against Juve in recent times. Also since Gattuso took over they have faced Juve twice and won both matches.
The last meeting between the two was in the Coppa Italia final, The game ended 0-0 (Napoli won on penalties) Napoli were the better side over the 120 mins of play generating 1.98xG to Juve’s 0.45xG
Prior to that they won 2-1 in Naples again restricting Juventus heavily. The bianconeri generated just 0.8xG in that game.
So far this season Napoli have come up against weak opposition in Genoa and Parma but they have been dominant and haven’t given the opposition a sniff, Parma got off 1 attempt on target (0.12xG), Genoa 0 (0.52xG)
Napoli are unbeaten in 14 of their last 17 games in Serie A
Not only have they held onto their entire starting XI from last season they’ve also added Victor Osimhen into the mix which so far looks like a very promising move
The Nigerian forward has only played 120 mins but has generated 0.8xG and registered an assist already. We can expect him to continue to grow as the season progresses)
Napoli have one injury concern and that’s with Insigne, he’s being evaluated day to day but probably misses this match or starts from the bench Final word: Napoli will continue to press relentlessly while maintaining a strong narrow defensive shape, expect Juve to struggle a lot to create good chances and for Napoli to cover the spread.
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