Sassuolo +1.5 Asian Handicap at 1.73 with Unibet/888 - 1 unit

Juventus

  • Juventus were lucky not to lose again at the weekend away to Inter, fortunately for them Dumfries handed Juve a penalty at the death and Dybala converted (1-1)
  • Juve who have won 4 of 9 Serie A games this season currently rank 6th best in the league for xGD which is in line with their league position
  • More changes to the XI are expected today. Perin will come in for Szczęsny, De Sciglio for Sandro, and De Ligt for Chiellini.
  • Expected XI: Perin, Danilo, Bonucci, De Ligt, De Sciglio, Chiesa, Arthur, Locatelli, Rabiot, Dybala, Morata
  • Perin was a top performer on his loan spell with Genoa  but some reason he struggles on the bigger stage with Juve. He started one game this season (Samp) and conceded twice, the goals weren't his fault but he didn't impress
  • Arthur who hasn't played more than 20 mins this season could start, he hasn't played a full match since April
  • Under Allegri (all competitions) Juve have covered this spread (-1.5) once, that came against minnows Malmo in the UCL (3-0 win)
  • Juventus have only won 4 of their last 20 Serie A games by 2 or more goals, Sassuolo aren't exactly relegation fodder either so this price looks appealing

Sassuolo

  • Sassuolo are coming off a 3-1 win over Venezia and good attacking displays against Genoa and Inter. Slowly it appears they're getting their confidence back
  • Sassuolo should line up in a similar fashion tonight as they did mid-week, the highly touted Gianluca Scamacca is expected to lead the line again with Raspadori Berardi, and Traore in support
  • Although this is a small sample size (261) mins, Sassuolo have an impressive team xG with the lanky 22 year old in attack, they are averaging 1.97 xG and 2.07 goals p90 with him on the pitch
  • Despite having a reputation as being weak defensively, Sassuolo have only lost 1 of their last 22 Serie A matches by more than 1 goal
  • Under new coach Alessio Dionisi they've taken on two top tier teams and kept things competitive (Inter and Atalanta)
  • Sassuolo have the advantage of an extra days rest having played on Saturday

Final word: Juve are returning to old ways, we've seen four 1-0 wins in Juve's last five games, I'd be very surprised if Juve manage to blow Sassuolo away here, we also can't rule out the visitors registering a goal here either.