Both teams to score: Yes at 1.86 with Pinnacle (Min 1.77) 2 units
- Marseille continued their impressive attacking output under Sampaoli again last weekend with a 3-1 win over Reims
- That's now 4 straight games with Marseille scoring 2+ and their 3rd straight game generating an xG of at least 1.89
- Marseille's team news is positive, Boubacar Kamara (DM) could be a doubt though and he's a key defensive player. Kamara left the field at the weekend against Reims with a back injury. He's in the squad but doubtful to start
- In attack Marseille will have Payet, Thauvin, and Milik available from the start.
- Possible XI: Mandanda, Alvaro, Balerdi, Perrin, Nagatomo, Lirola, Rongier, Thauvin, Gueye, Payet, Milik.
- Under Sampaoli, Marseille have taken on four teams in the bottom half and scored 2+ in all (Brest, Dijon, Lorient, and Reims)
- Overall, games managed under the Argentinian are average 3.5 per game
- Defensively we should be concerned about Marseille. They have conceded 6 goals in their last three outings, all three teams rank weaker than Strasbourg for attacking out (Montpellier, Lorient, and Reims)
- We've seen two clean sheets under Sampaoli, one against the worst attack in France (Dijon) and the other against Rennes in Sampaoli's first game in charge.
- Strasbourg have lost 8 of their last 10 against the top 6 and have allowed on average 2.1 goals per game so I'm expecting this new look Marseille to score at least once.
- In terms of team news they will be without CB's Simakan and Kone
- Simakan who has earned a move to RB Leipzig in the summer is a huge upgrade on Mitrovic and Djiku who are expected to start at CB for this game. Since he got injured in January, Strasbourg have only kept clean sheets in 3 of 13 games
- With Mitrovic (CB) on the pitch Strasbourg concede on average 1.71 goals a game, Djiku slightly better with 1.31
- Strasbourg will likely rely on fast counter attacks which exploit the wide areas. This approach should trouble Marseille who play a high line. We saw against Lorient and Montpellier just how vulnerable Marseille are to high balls in behind their defence.
- Strasbourg who are a top tier ranked attack in France (5th for xG) have scored in 7 of their last 8 matches in the league, these include goals against Monaco, PSG, and Lens
- The one match they failed to scored was against Rennes, a game they generated 0.99xG in, no shame there in my opinion, Rennes have been top tier defensively this season
Final word: All things considered, it's hard not to favour goals in this contest.