Nagelsmann has always struggled against Adi Hutter's direct style of play. So far in his young career, he's gone H2H with the Austrian 6 times and won just once
When the sides met back in November, they played out 1-1 in what was a very even contest, 1.03-1.21xG in Frankfurt's favour) Poulsen scored a wonder goal in that game; apart from that chance, they barely had a sniff at goal.
RBL have won just 4 of their last 10 matches with Top 6 opponents, from those games they scored 16 and conceded 12
If we filter that top 6 record to just home games, they've won just 2 with 9 scored and 13 conceded
Frankfurt dropped points at the weekend against Stuttgart but are still sitting strong in 4th place.
Coming into this game, their team news is better, and they also had no midweek distractions, unlike Leipzig.
Frankfurt have avoided defeat in 21 of their 24 league matches this season.
Their xG difference for the season also confirms they're the 4th best team in Germany this season, so they're not overperforming; they're where they deserve to be.
Let's take a close look at those 3 losses.
vs Werder they gave away two sloppy chances, which Werder converted. Overall not a game they should have lost (1.18-1.11 xG in Frankfurt's favour)
vs Wolfsburg they were second best and deserved to lose (xG 2.81-1.51 in Wolfsburg's favour)
vs Bayern (1st match), they got run over 5-0, that was before Bayern's form fell off a cliff.
Unlike RB Leipzig, Frankfurt have a respectable recent record against Top 6 sides going W5 D3 L2 in their last 10 (16 scored, 12 conceded)
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