Mainz who lost this fixture 8-0 last season will be without two automatic starters in their midfield. Both Fernandes and Pierre Kunde will miss out having tested positive for C19
Over the two meetings between these sides last season RB Leipzig scored 13 unanswered goals and generated a total of 9.23xG
Of players with 1000+ mins last season, Kunde had the biggest impact on their average points per game (1.29 PPM)
RB Leipzig’s team news is more positive, they’ll only be missing Laimer but have adequate backup in Mukiele
RBL will have to adjust to life without Timo Werner this season but early signs seem to indicate they’ll be just fine. We saw RBL compete at a very high level in the UCL last season and they looked very sharp in their DFB Pokal match last week.
Last season RBL scored 2.24 goals per game in their Bundesliga home games
When playing Poulsen (3.09 team goals per 90), Sabitzer (2.63), Nkunku (2.62) and Olmo (2.41) had a huge impact on RBL’s attacking production
Hwang Hee-Chan has also made the move from RB Salzburg, he’s more or less the Werner replacement and should have a good season. Last season he had 29 Goals + Assists in all competitions (6 in the UCL alone)
RB Leipzig have won 8 of their last 10 matches when facing bottom 6 teams. From those games, they averaged 3.3 goals per game and 0.8 conceded
Mainz form against the Top 6 was one of the worst in the league last season. In their last 10 matches against Top 6 opponents, they have lost 7 and conceded 2.4 goals per game while scoring 0.8.
RB Leipzig -1.5 Asian Handicap at 2.01 with Bet Victor - 1.5 units
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