• Mainz who lost this fixture 8-0 last season will be without two automatic starters in their midfield. Both Fernandes and Pierre Kunde will miss out having tested positive for C19
  • Over the two meetings between these sides last season RB Leipzig scored 13 unanswered goals and generated a total of 9.23xG
  • Of players with 1000+ mins last season, Kunde had the biggest impact on their average points per game (1.29 PPM)
  • RB Leipzig’s team news is more positive, they’ll only be missing Laimer but have adequate backup in Mukiele
  • RBL will have to adjust to life without Timo Werner this season but early signs seem to indicate they’ll be just fine. We saw RBL compete at a very high level in the UCL last season and they looked very sharp in their DFB Pokal match last week.
  • Last season RBL scored 2.24 goals per game in their Bundesliga home games
  • When playing Poulsen (3.09 team goals per 90), Sabitzer (2.63), Nkunku (2.62) and Olmo (2.41) had a huge impact on RBL’s attacking production
  • Hwang Hee-Chan has also made the move from RB Salzburg, he’s more or less the Werner replacement and should have a good season. Last season he had 29 Goals + Assists in all competitions (6 in the UCL alone)
  • RB Leipzig have won 8 of their last 10 matches when facing bottom 6 teams. From those games, they averaged 3.3 goals per game and 0.8 conceded
  • Mainz form against the Top 6 was one of the worst in the league last season. In their last 10 matches against Top 6 opponents, they have lost 7 and conceded 2.4 goals per game while scoring 0.8.
RB Leipzig -1.5  Asian Handicap at 2.01 with Bet Victor - 1.5 units