PSG

  • PSG will be back to full strength for this game, their squad was ravaged with positive C19 cases and suspensions but the only players who will miss out here are Kurzawa and Bernat
  • PSG kicked into gear last weekend with a 3-0 away win against Nice that seen them generate 3.44xG. The week prior they struggled to get past Metz (1-0) but again the xG wasn't terrible, they put up 2.14 and got off 21 attempts on goal. Di Maria, Sarabia, and Icardi were all guilty of missing big chances in that game. The same was true for Le Classique against Marseille, they lost 0-1 in a game that was ruined by officials. PSG put up 2.22xG and again have run out winners
  • These numbers shouldn't surprise you but I feel compelled to share. With Mbappe playing (last seasons Ligue 1 stats) PSG average 3.21 goals per game, With Icardi 3.21 and with Neymar 2.74. All three are expected to start this game
  • Despite their disappointing start to the league PSG still lead the league for chances created from open play.
  • In terms of motivation I think this spot suits PSG, they still have  a lot of prove after losing 2 of their opening 4 matches

Reims

  • Reims relied heavily on fielding the same XI last season and relied heavily on heroics from their GK Rajković. According to Wyscout Rajković should have conceded somewhere in the neighbourhood of 26.5 goals (xCD -expected conceded goals) but only allowed 18.
  • So who did Reims lose this window? They lost their best CB Axel Disasi who is now starting for Monaco and starting LB/LW Hassane Kamara who joined Nice
  • To make things worse for Reims they will be without starting DM/Utility CB Marshall Munetsi who got sent off against Metz in their last match.
  • At this stage last season ( 4 games in) Reims hadn't conceded a single goal in Ligue 1 and were one of the best defensive sides in the league. This season they've already conceded 6 and are allowing 1.63xGA per 90.
  • Reims currently rank 3rd worst in the league for chances allowed which is remarkable when you consider how robust this team was last season
  • In terms of chances created from open play they are the 3rd worst in the league with 2.79 npxG (non-penalty xG)
  • Lastly, Reims have an away game in the Europa League tomorrow (In Hungary), there's a good chance that a lot of first-team players start this game so PSG will definitely be the fresher of the two.Final word: Even with the squad ravaged PSG's attacking numbers were fairly consistent in the Nice, Metz, and Marseille matches. With the full cast back I expect them to be too much for a struggling Reims.
PSG -1.5 Asian Handicap at 1.89 with Bet365/Pinnacle - 2 units