Both teams to score: Yes at 1.9 with Bet365 - 2 units


  • Romania got their campaign off to a fine start beating North Macedonia 3-2; the Romanians generated 2.02 xG in that game and got off 17 attempts on goal.
  • Over the last calendar year we've seen Romania score 1.75 goals per 90 with 1.53xG.
  • Filter that to home games only we see 2.25 goals per game with 2.11xG
  • In their last qualification campaign, they put up 1.7 per 90 with 1.66xG.
  • Under new coach Mirel Radoi, we've seen relatively high scoring games (3.66 per game)
  • Romania only failed to score in two of these matches (Austria and Norway)
  • Defensively Romania have been relatively weak during the last year with 2 goals allowed per game and 1.95xGA; considering Germany's threat going forward, they will likely need to find the net themselves to take something from this game.
  • Romania's squad is in decent shape and they will carry a threat going forward. Early signs indicate a starting XI of: Nita, Burca, Chiriches, Tosca, Bancu, Maxim, Cretu, Stanciu, Hagi, Keseru, Tanase
  • Parma duo Dennis Man and Valentin Mihăilă are two excellent attacking prospects that will also be available if needed. Both are very pacy and can cause Germany problems if they persist with a high line.


  • Germany blew Iceland away without any problems, the game was over within the opening 10 mins. Iceland (no disrespect) were hopeless in front of goal on Thursday, they had a few ok chances fall their way but never looked like scoring.
  • Prior to that, Germany kept zero clean sheets in the UNL campaign
  • Romania, like Jogi Löw has mentioned are a far more attacking side and his defence will be tested more.
  • Germany will likely line up in a 4-3-3 as they did mid-week. Emre Can will probably be forced to start LB once again. Low mentioned Goretzka and Gnabry are carrying knocks so it remains to be seen how they line up.
  • Early signs indicate we could get this XI: Neuer - Klostermann, Ginter, Rüdiger, Can - Kimmich, Neuhaus, Gündogan - Havertz, Sané, Gnabry.
  • Over the last calendar year Germany have allowed 1.78 goals per 90 with 1.68xGA
  • Germany haven't kept a clean sheet in a match with a team ranked inside the top 40 since they beat Russia 3-0 (friendly 0.81xGA against) in 2018

Final word: This is not a game Romania are expected to win, but they'll be more than aware of Germany's inadequacies at the back, expect holes to open with Germany pushing high.