Gladbach -1 Asian Handicap at 1.73 with Pinnacle (min 1.67)

Schalke

  • New coach Dimitrios Grammozis is two games in and has a scoreless draw with Mainz and a 5-0 defeat to Wolfsburg to his name.
  • The only noticeable difference so far is that they're just as bad as before, but their attacking threat is even less potent, if that's possible.
  • From those games they managed just 3 attempts inside the opposition box and all the attempts were headers from Mustafi (CB) that came from set-pieces.
  • When these sides met in November, Gladbach won 4-1, generating an absurd 4.75xG off 18 attempts on goal
  • Schalke's squad news is as bad as ever too, Fahrmann (starting GK) Sané, Nastasić, Bentaleb, Boujellab, Mendyl, Huntelaar, Uth and Paciência are all set to miss out.
  • Across all 5 of the Top 5 leagues in Europe, Schalke have the 2nd worst xG(Elche worst), joint worst goal tally (tied with Sheff Utd), worst goals against per 90 (2.5) and the 3rd worst xGA (Only Dijon and WBA worse)
  • I won't continue to say how bad Schake are; that's clear for everyone to see this season. With no new Manager "bounce", we shouldn't expect results to deviate either.
  • If Schalke concedes first here I'd worry about them, as we've seen all season the heads drop when the team trails. In the 15 matches they've conceded 1st, they've conceded on average 3 goals a game.

Gladbach

  • Gladbach are coming off a tough mid-week tie with Man City, but we should be encouraged at how well they did in their 3-1 loss to Augsburg.
  • Yes, they did lose but dominated the game and were unfortunate to concede all three of the shots on target they faced. In the first half alone, they could have easily been 3-0 ahead. But as we know in Football, results don't always reflect performances.
  • I agree with most pundits that the decision for Marco Rose to announce his departure so early was wrong and has hurt morale, but this side still carries a threat, as we saw against Augsburg. I think the media have overblown the issue by now too.
  • Gladbach's team news is positive; no automatic starters are missing
  • Possible XI: Sommer, Lainer, Ginter, Elvedi, Bensebaini, Kramer, Stindl, Neuhaus, Hofmann, Pléa, Thuram.
  • Gladbach's xG difference this season points towards them being better than their league position suggests (7th instead of 10th). They, along with Frankfurt, Union, and Wolfsburg, are the best teams in Germany after the Big 3 (Bayern, RBL, & BVB)
  • As mentioned above, Gladbach ran through Schalke last time out and did so while rotating their best XI. In that game, Gladbach pulled into a 2-1 lead in the 35th min, and Schalke completely fell to pieces thereafter.

Final word: Gladbach are still arguably the 4th/5th best attack in Germany and shouldn't have too much trouble taking all three points