Sheff Utd

The last game between these two was quite tight (1-1) with Sheff Utd edging the xG at Molineux. I think there's very little reason to expect anything different here. Sheff Utd's game plan won't suit Wolves one bit. They do their best work counter attacking, not breaking down deep lying organised defences.

All three times Nuno and Wilder have gone H2H we've seen Wolves create very little. Even in their 3-0 win in the Championship Wolves relied on two long range efforts that were low % chances.

Burnley, Brighton, and Crystal Palace are other teams with very similar defences numbers to Sheff Utd who also play deep. In Wolves matches with these teams they haven't had the best success.

vs Burnley they drew 1-1 (xG almost identical) against Brighton they drew twice (0-0, 2-2) and against Palace they drew 1-1.

Sheff Utd are missing one automatic starter (John Lundstram), he will be replaced by Ben Osborn who played in all of their last three games (unbeaten in all 3)

Wolves

Although Wolves do have an excellent record against the Top 6, their record against teams in the middle 3rd is below average. In their last 10 they have won just 3 times with 15 goals scored and 17 conceded.

Wolves have been playing with the same XI almost every game since the restart and they appeared to be running out of steam in their last match with Arsenal. In that game against a relatively shaky Arsenal backline they created just one good chance in the 90 mins.

In terms of motivation that loss to Arsenal is huge for their UCL ambitions. They now have just a 15% to finish in the UCL places. A major collapse from Leicester, Man Utd, or Chelsea would be required to get them back into the race.

As mentioned last week, Wolves 3 straight wins after the restart all came against favourable opponents (West Ham, Villa, and Bournemouth) this like the Arsenal game poses a far more complex challenge.

Wolves are a mid-table club when it comes to chances creation. Currently they rank 10th in the league for chances created. They're also heavily reliant on the Adama > Jimenez link up.

In that meeting between the two back in December Adama played a full 90 mins and created barely anything (0.12xA) so we'll hope Chris Wilders game plan can once against neutralise him

Sheff Utd +0.5 Asian Handicap at 1.8 with Betfred - 2 units (Don't bet below 1.73)