Stuttgart -1 Asian Handicap at 1.89 with Pinnacle - 2 units (1.83 min)

Stuttgart

  • Stuttgart will be without Nicolás González again but with Kalajdzic hitting some form they should be fine up front. He's scored 5 in his last 5 for Stuttgart
  • Besides their other main goal contributors (Goals + Assists) Wamangituka, Castro, Mangala are expected to start
  • Other than González they will be close to full strength.
  • So far this season Stuttgart are scoring at a rate of 1.77 per 90 and generating 1.94xG per 90
  • This ranks their attack (chance creation) as the 4th best in Germany. Only Bayern, Dortmund, and RB Leipzig have been better
  • In terms of actual goals they rank 6th
  • When they met earlier in the season they played out a 1-1 but Stuttgart arguably should have won that game easily (xG 2.09-0.73, 19 attempts to 7)
  • The Schalke XI that's expected tomorrow will be a lot worse than the one that took the field back in October (more below)

Schalke

  • When travelling to teams in the top half of the table, Schalke have lost 8 of their last 10 scoring 4 and conceding 30. Yes you read that right
  • Schalke's team news isn't very positive either. Both starting GK and backup are injured (Fährmann and Rønnow)
  • 36 year old Michael Langer will stand in. He's played 158 mins of Bundesliga football in his career and conceded 7 goals
  • Elsewhere Huntelaar, Uth, Nastasić , Skrzybski, Sané, and Paciência are all out injured.
  • Youngsters Thiaw and Becker will be trusted in the backline along with new arrivals Mustafi and Kolašinac.
  • On the road this season Schalke have conceded 3.00 per 90 while allowing 2.7xGA per 90
  • In attack they have been dreadful with 0.7 goals per 90 and an xG of 0.69

Final word: Schalke are effectively relegated (98% chance) while Stuttgart are all but guaranteed a mid-table finish with a sliver of a chance at qualifying for Europe. With zero pressure I expect Stuttgart to turn Schalke over with ease.