Both teams to score: Yes at 1.67 with Pinnacle - 2 units (Don't bet below 1.6)


  • Torino's season didn't get off to a great start with a 1-0 loss away to Fiorentina but they'll be hoping for a better display at home here. They'll also have a game under their belt so they could be slightly sharper than Atalanta who haven't played competitively since that PSG loss
  • Torino are under new management in Giampaolo which is a massive upgrade on Moreno Longo from last season. Although his time at Milan has cut short last season I'm optimistic he can turn around Torino's fortunes if given time.
  • Torino will have no shortage of firepower with Belotti, Zaza, and Berenguer all expected to start this game (Goals-per 90 increase when all 3 play). Torino did get into encouraging positions against Fiorentina last week but they'll be hoping for a bit more fluidity this week
  • Marco Giampaolo has an excellent record against Gasperini, The two have gone head to head 6 times since late 2016 with Giampaolo winning 4 with his sides scoring at least once in 80%
  • Overall I think Torino are underrated by the books for this match and the best way to play them here is for them to get on the scoresheet


  • Atalanta's fitness could be a concern here with no competitive games under their belts.
  • They're also going to be weak at the back without their starting GK Gollini, and starting CBs Palomino and Djimsiti (Palomino expected to start from the bench)
  • Elsewhere, Iličić and new signings Miranchuk and Piccini won't be available.
  • Caldara, Toloi, and Sutalo are expected to be Atalanta's back 3 for this match
  • Of players with 800+ mins, last season Atalanta give up the most chances per 90 with Caldara in the starting XI. Couple that with the inexperienced Sutalo and a backup GK I think Torino can score at least once
  • Towards the end of last season, we saw Atalanta concede in 7 of their last 8 games
  • Atalanta also have a tendency to let their guard drop against lesser teams. In their last 10 matches against 'bottom 6' teams they conceded 1.4 per game